MAV CROSS-REF
Mav — "They're Cooking Something"
Generated 03/26/2026 — Cross-referenced against Maverick 5.8
MAV — MARKET COMMENTARY ANALYSIS
03/25 Stock Market Recap | Cross-Referenced Against Maverick 5.8 + Rolling Tracker v10
"They're Cooking Something"
Video: Stock Market Recap — March 25, 2026 (Mav)
Cross-References: COMPREHENSIVE_ANALYSIS_0324.md, Rolling Tracker v10 (03/25), 11 Sector Reports (0325 data), SILVA_COMMENTARY_MULTIMODAL_0325.md (companion cross-reference)
Generated: 2026-03-26
ANALYST PROFILE
Mav operates from a chart pattern / editorial / geopolitical framework. His analysis blends weekly-timeframe technical patterns (inverse ABC, head-and-shoulders, bear flags, falling wedges) with macro-geopolitical narrative construction. He uses social media intelligence, military situation assessment, and options unusual activity callouts. His strength is narrative integration — connecting geopolitical events to specific chart structures. His weakness (per prior cross-references) is the lack of institutional flow data, side decomposition, and EM range validation.
CONTENT STRUCTURE
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SEGMENT 1: GEOPOLITICAL THESIS — "WHAT ARE THEY COOKING?"
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The centerpiece of Mav's 03/25 report. 60%+ of the
transcript is geopolitical analysis. Core thesis:
The market doesn't believe the ceasefire/negotiation
headlines. The 48-hour warning was canceled but extended
to end-of-week = suspicious. Market "putting 2 and 2
together" — this is a delay for something bigger.
ESCALATION OPTIONS (Mav's scenario tree):
1. Ask for global help (NATO/EU/China/Japan) → FAILED.
All told Trump to get lost. Japan "privately said no."
2. Negotiate with Iran → Iran has leverage, won't accept
terms that don't include US base removal + yuan
settlement. Unacceptable politically.
3. Seize Iranian tankers → Biggest buyer is China.
Seizing = trade war escalation before Trump-Xi May mtg.
4. SEIZE KHARG ISLAND → 90% of Iranian oil exports.
Mav's speculation: this is the weekend option being
planned. Fly in troops, take the terminal/tankers.
5. Naval battle / ground troops → requires public
support, manufactured via US casualties from #4.
KHARG ISLAND RISK ASSESSMENT (Mav's analysis):
- Troops become sitting ducks (drones, missiles, mines)
- Even if seized, Iran retaliates on Saudi Aramco, Qatar
Ras Laffan, UAE, Iraqi, Kuwaiti facilities
- Best case: Iranian oil stops flowing AND other oil stops
→ crude to $150
- Worst case: Regional facility damage → crude $150-200+
- "Don't underestimate the stupidity of decision makers"
IRAN'S LEVERAGE POSITION:
- Controls Strait of Hormuz
- Demanding: US base removal from Gulf states,
yuan-denominated oil settlement
- Both = "collapse of US Empire" per Mav
- Iran shipping more oil than ever via Hormuz
- Iran using market pain as negotiating leverage
MAV'S CONCLUSION: Market cautious/trending down through
end of week. Weekend risk is high. Either escalation
(Kharg Island) or de-escalation (surrender on bad terms).
Neither outcome is bullish near-term.
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SEGMENT 2: TECHNICAL CHARTS — KEY LEVELS
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ES Futures (daily):
Pivotal level: 6,650 (our EM upper zone)
Below 6,650: inverse ABC → more declines
Above 6,650: bull flag → retest 200 DMA
"We continue to trade below — that's the problem"
NASDAQ:
Pivotal: 24,500
Same structure: below = inverse ABC, above = bull flag
+ 200 DMA retest
Russell 2000:
ABOVE 200 DMA in futures = "bull's best hope"
"The case to say buy the dip"
BUT yields going up = no fundamental confirmation
DXY:
Falling wedge pattern
Assumption: resolution → higher dollar
If DXY breaks out of falling wedge → bearish gold/silver
Gold Futures:
If dollar breaks out → gold inverse ABC → 200 DMA
Dependent on resolution/peace deal
Silver:
Reband may be topping candle
Unless dollar goes down → ABC to 200 DMA
Crude Oil:
Bear flag forming → potential "go again" to upside
BUT requires resolution first
"The stuff I talked about earlier — that's not gonna happen"
2Y Yield:
Rebounding higher overnight
Golden cross forming (50 above 200 DMA)
Weekly: above 4% = rate HIKES in play
"If rates go up in this stagflation environment,
the market is gonna crash"
SMH (Semis):
Below 50 DMA
Head-and-shoulders forming → break to downside
MU (Micron):
Down ~20% from top
"Where do we close end of week? Above or below 50 DMA?"
Below = top is in
GOOGL efficiency announcement hurt memory demand thesis
GOOGL:
Below $300
Head-and-shoulders confirmed
Lost court cases → regulatory headwind
Target: 200 DMA regardless of rebounds
TSLA:
Rejected at 200 DMA
Filling the gap → target 360-350
AAPL:
Rejected at $255 (4th time)
Falling wedge intact if closes above 255
"Longer we hang here, more likely we revisit 200 DMA"
NVDA:
Tried to pump +3% intraday → closed below 200 DMA
"Absent a close above 200... above the 50... still bearish"
IGV (Software):
Weekly reband = retail buys, institutions exit
Potential inverse ABC pattern
BWX Technologies (defense):
Inverse H&S breaking out
"If you want to buy anything in the market — this chart"
OLN (ammunition/chemicals):
Double bottom, breaking out
Target: 30+
Ammunition replenishment thesis
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SEGMENT 3: TRADE IDEAS
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- Long JBLU (merger thesis — 13%+ today)
Hedge: Short UAL (likely acquirer per his sources)
- Bear spread EWY (South Korea — memory/bubble thesis)
Potential hedge: Long KDEF (Korea defense ETF)
- Long BWX (defense — war beneficiary, inverse H&S)
- Long OLN (ammunition replenishment)
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SEGMENT 4: ECONOMIC CALENDAR / CLOSE
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Thu: Initial jobless claims + Fed speakers (Musalem,
Jefferson, Barr) — rate hike confirmation risk
Fri: Consumer sentiment (final) + Fed speakers
(Philly, Richmond)
Mav will be off Thursday, back Friday for close.
"Really important close on Friday."
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SEGMENT-BY-SEGMENT CROSS-REFERENCE VS. MAVERICK 5.8
SEGMENT 1: GEOPOLITICAL THESIS — "THEY'RE COOKING SOMETHING"
Mav's thesis: The market is about to face a binary weekend event — either Kharg Island seizure (escalation) or negotiation surrender (de-escalation on Iran's terms). Neither is bullish. The ceasefire/negotiation headlines are cover for planning. The market is "not buying it anymore."
Maverick 5.8 Cross-Reference:
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ ALIGNMENT: ✅ DIRECTIONALLY ALIGNED, ⚠️ DIFFERENT CAUSATION │ │ │ │ Mav's thesis: Weekend binary event → volatility. │ │ Our data: -$24.22B darkpool liquidation → institutional │ │ exit regardless of geopolitical outcome. │ │ │ │ WHERE MAV IS RIGHT: │ │ 1. Oil declining through escalation IS anomalous. Our │ │ tracker explicitly flags this: │ │ "/CLK26 at $88.39 — oil trending DOWN through │ │ escalation. Unusual. THREE-DAY NEGATIVE TREND." │ │ Mav provides the narrative explanation: demand │ │ destruction + market skepticism about deal. │ │ │ │ 2. The market IS cautious through end of week. Our data: │ │ Breadth 48.4% (negative), DEX -$2B to -$3B, flow │ │ timeline steepening into April. Institutions ARE │ │ positioning for downside regardless of narrative. │ │ │ │ 3. Rate hike risk is real. Our tracker: │ │ "RATE HIKES DISCUSSED at March FOMC meeting." │ │ "Zero cuts priced for 2026. First cut June 2027 (~40%)." │ │ Mav's 2Y yield golden cross observation = the chart │ │ version of our fundamental regime assessment. │ │ │ │ WHERE MAV ADDS UNIQUE VALUE: │ │ The Kharg Island scenario tree is intelligence we don't │ │ generate. Our framework tracks oil price, not military │ │ planning. Mav's escalation options (1-5) provide the │ │ NARRATIVE FRAMEWORK for understanding WHY oil might re- │ │ spike. Our DXY-Oil Regime currently says "transitioning │ │ toward DEFLATION" (Oil↓ + DXY↑). Mav's analysis says │ │ that transition is FRAGILE — a weekend escalation could │ │ reverse it instantly (oil $150+ per his scenario). │ │ │ │ WHERE MAV'S ANALYSIS IS WEAKER: │ │ 1. No flow data. His entire thesis is narrative + │ │ technical. He doesn't see the -$24.22B darkpool, │ │ the AAPL capitulation, the MSFT 5-day campaign, │ │ or the 14-vs-3 convergence count. He's reading │ │ the surface (charts + geopolitics) without the │ │ institutional subsurface. │ │ │ │ 2. His scenario analysis is SPECULATIVE. "The rumor is, │ │ this is the option that's gonna take place over the │ │ weekend" — this is sourcing from social media and │ │ military commentary, not verifiable intelligence. │ │ Framework Rule 0: DATA BEFORE COMMENTARY. The │ │ darkpool data doesn't speculate about Kharg Island — │ │ it shows institutions exiting NOW, before any weekend │ │ event. The FLOW is the signal. The geopolitics is │ │ the narrative overlay. │ │ │ │ 3. Iran's leverage position (yuan settlement, US base │ │ removal) is macro-structural analysis beyond our │ │ framework's scope. Valid strategic context but not │ │ actionable for daily positioning. │ │ │ │ FRAMEWORK INTEGRATION: │ │ Mav's geopolitical scenarios map to our risk calendar: │ │ • 03/28-31: Quarter-end rebalancing + collar expiry │ │ (our data) + potential weekend military event (Mav) │ │ • 04/01: ISM Manufacturing (our catalyst) + post-weekend │ │ gap risk from military action (Mav's catalyst) │ │ • 04/10: CPI "captures Iran war oil shock" (BOTH) │ │ │ │ The catalysts STACK. Our structural catalysts (collar │ │ expiry, ISM, CPI) arrive at the same time as Mav's │ │ geopolitical catalysts (weekend escalation, ceasefire │ │ collapse). This CONVERGENCE of timing is the real risk. │ └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
SEGMENT 2: TECHNICAL CHART ANALYSIS
Mav's thesis: Everything hinges on whether ES holds above 6,650. Below = inverse ABC declines. Above = bull flag to 200 DMA retest. Russell 2000 above 200 DMA = bull's best hope. But yields going up kill the fundamental case. Falling wedge in DXY = higher dollar = bearish gold. 2Y golden cross = rate hikes in play. If rates up in stagflation = crash.
Maverick 5.8 Cross-Reference:
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ ALIGNMENT: ✅ STRONG ON LEVELS, ✅ STRONG ON IMPLICATIONS │ │ │ │ MAV'S PIVOTAL LEVEL: ES 6,650 │ │ OUR DATA: SPX upper daily EM = 6,632. Gamma flip ~6,650- │ │ 6,750 (Silva's data). 200 DMA ~6,760. │ │ │ │ THREE INDEPENDENT SOURCES converge on the ~6,650-6,760 │ │ zone as THE resistance cluster: │ │ • Mav: 6,650 pivotal (chart pattern) │ │ • Silva: 6,750 gamma flip (systematic/gamma) │ │ • Our EM: 6,632 upper, 200 DMA 6,760 │ │ • JPM collar call cap: ~6,800 │ │ │ │ This is a WALL. SPX at ~6,589 faces 6,632 → 6,650 → │ │ 6,750 → 6,760 → 6,800 resistance stack. For the pain │ │ trade (Silva) or bull flag (Mav) to work, price needs to │ │ break through FIVE independent resistance levels. The flow │ │ data says institutions are selling INTO this wall, not │ │ buying through it. │ │ │ │ RUSSELL 2000 OBSERVATION: │ │ Mav: "Above 200 DMA in futures — bull's best hope" │ │ Our data: IWM range -2.26 REVERSED, -0.38% on 03/25, │ │ 9.1x P/C institutional hedging on 03/24. │ │ ⚠️ Our flow data CONTRADICTS Mav's chart read. │ │ The IWM chart may show a bull flag, but the options market │ │ shows extreme put-loading on the bounce. Institutions are │ │ using the Russell bounce to BUY INSURANCE, not go long. │ │ Mav himself hedges: "yields going up = no fundamental │ │ confirmation." Correct. The chart pattern is there but │ │ the flow + macro don't support it. │ │ │ │ DXY FALLING WEDGE: │ │ Mav: Falling wedge → higher dollar if resolution. │ │ Our data: DXY range 50 (MODERATE, stable). │ │ DXY Hard Gate ACTIVE for metals (range >40). │ │ ✅ ALIGNED. Mav's chart pattern (falling wedge = bullish │ │ dollar) matches our regime assessment (DXY rising with │ │ range 50 = HARD BLOCK on metals). If DXY breaks out of │ │ the wedge, it REINFORCES our Hard Gate and makes the │ │ metals bear case even stronger. Mav's technical read and │ │ our regime framework arrive at the same trade: bearish │ │ gold/silver until DXY breaks. │ │ │ │ 2Y YIELD GOLDEN CROSS + RATE HIKE RISK: │ │ Mav: 2Y golden cross forming. Above 4% = hikes in play. │ │ "If rates go up in stagflation, the market crashes." │ │ Our data: "RATE HIKES DISCUSSED at March FOMC." │ │ PCE tracking 3.0% core. Super Core PPI 3.5% YoY. │ │ ISM Prices Paid 70.5 = extreme. Stagflation fingerprint. │ │ ✅ STRONGLY ALIGNED. This is the most dangerous macro │ │ setup in our tracker. Mav's chart-based rate hike call │ │ matches our fundamental regime assessment. The 2Y golden │ │ cross is the TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION of what the Fed │ │ minutes already signaled. │ │ │ │ OIL BEAR FLAG: │ │ Mav: Bear flag in crude → "go again" to upside. │ │ "But requires resolution first — that's not gonna happen." │ │ Our data: Oil /CLK26 $88.39. USO declining from DOMINANT │ │ trend. THREE-DAY negative trend. │ │ ⚠️ DIVERGENCE in direction. Mav sees oil going BACK UP │ │ (bear flag = consolidation before next leg higher). │ │ Our DXY-Oil regime says oil declining = possible deflation │ │ pattern. Mav's scenario (Kharg Island → $150 oil) would │ │ reverse our deflation read. If Mav's geopolitical thesis │ │ plays out, oil spikes and the DEFLATION regime becomes │ │ WAR INFLATION regime = different playbook entirely. │ │ │ │ MSFT / GOOGL / TSLA / AAPL / NVDA: │ │ Mav's chart reads vs our flow data: │ │ │ │ MSFT: Mav bearish (bear flag → 200-week MA target) │ │ Our data: -$1,926.2M cumulative 5-day put campaign. │ │ DP: -$558.97M. HIGHEST individual conviction. │ │ ✅ PERFECTLY ALIGNED. Both say the same thing. │ │ │ │ GOOGL: Mav bearish (H&S confirmed, court losses, <$300) │ │ Our data: $754M at 100% bid (03/24), -$17M BEAR (03/25). │ │ ✅ ALIGNED. The efficiency announcement Mav cites │ │ (less memory chips needed) maps to our MU canary thesis. │ │ │ │ TSLA: Mav bearish (rejected 200 DMA, gap fill → 360-350) │ │ Our data: -$7.0M BEARISH, death cross forming. │ │ ✅ ALIGNED. Mav target 360-350 = consistent with our │ │ tracker positioning. │ │ │ │ AAPL: Mav cautious (4th rejection at 255, falling wedge) │ │ Our data: CAPITULATED — flipped from +$1.39B accumulation │ │ to -$1.71B pure selling (100% bid) in ONE SESSION. │ │ ⚠️ Mav's chart shows "controlled." Our flow shows │ │ FORCED LIQUIDATION. Same divergence as Silva. │ │ The chart lies. The darkpool doesn't. │ │ │ │ NVDA: Mav bearish (closed below 200 DMA, tried +3%) │ │ Our data: +$2.29B darkpool accumulation (92.6% ask). │ │ Tier 1 LONG. SOLE SURVIVOR thesis. │ │ ⚠️ DIVERGENCE. Mav reads the chart (below 200 DMA = │ │ bearish). Our flow reads the darkpool (massive │ │ institutional accumulation = bullish). This is the │ │ MOST IMPORTANT disagreement between Mav and 5.8. │ │ NVDA intraday tried +3% BECAUSE institutions were │ │ buying $2.29B through dark pools. The close below 200 │ │ DMA is the index drag, not NVDA-specific weakness. │ │ Our framework sides with the flow: NVDA is being │ │ accumulated while everything else gets liquidated. │ │ The chart will follow the flow, not vice versa. │ └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
SEGMENT 3: TRADE IDEAS
Mav's trades vs. 5.8 assessment:
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TRADE MAV'S THESIS 5.8 ASSESSMENT
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Long JBLU Merger target. +13% today Not in our WL1/WL2.
Hedge: Short Sources say UAL acquirer. Event-driven, not
UAL Pair trade. flow-based. Outside
framework scope.
No opinion.
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Bear EWY Memory chip bubble. Memory thesis maps to
(South Korea) Samsung/Hynix dependent our MU canary + GOOGL
on AI memory demand. efficiency announcement.
GOOGL cutting memory ✅ DIRECTIONALLY ALIGNED.
chip orders. Korea exposed to same
AI efficiency risk.
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Long KDEF Korea defense ETF. Aligns with our defense
(Korea Ammunition depletion + rotation signal: BA
defense) lower cost Korean supply. bullish both DP and
Hedge against EWY short. options. Defense sector
= policy basket alignment.
✅ THEMATICALLY ALIGNED.
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Long BWX Defense software. Not in our WL1/WL2.
Inverse H&S breakout. War beneficiary thesis
War beneficiary. is valid per geopolitical
"If you want to buy regime. Chart confirmation
anything — this chart." only (no flow data).
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Long OLN Ammunition replenishment. Not in our WL1/WL2.
Double bottom breakout. Ammunition/chemicals play.
Target: 30+. Defense adjacency.
Chart-driven thesis.
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THREE-ANALYST CONVERGENCE MAP — 03/25
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SILVA (03/25) MAV (03/25) 5.8 (03/25)
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APPROACH Quantitative/ Chart pattern/ Flow hierarchy/
systematic geopolitical regime-based
narrative
PRIMARY Pain trade as Weekend binary: Phase 2 DEAD.
THESIS contrarian risk. Kharg Island Phase 3 imminent.
FTD Day 4-7 seizure or 14-vs-3 bearish.
window active. surrender. Both -$24.22B darkpool.
BP divergences. bearish. April catalysts.
TONE Cautious but Aggressively Data-driven
incrementally bearish. "Worst EXTREMELY bearish.
constructive. is yet to come." Highest conviction
Flags upside. Geopolitical in tracker history.
doom thesis.
SPX PIVOT ~6,650-6,750 6,650 6,632 (EM upper)
LEVEL (gamma flip) (chart pivot) 6,760 (200 DMA)
MSFT VIEW Worst performer Bear flag → 5-day campaign
-33.5% 200-week MA -$1,926.2M.
Highest conviction.
NVDA VIEW Pinned. Below 200 DMA SOLE SURVIVOR.
Tagged upper EM. = bearish. +$2.29B accumulation.
Positive sign. Tier 1 LONG.
⚠️ DISAGREEMENT — Mav bearish, Silva neutral, 5.8 bullish
AAPL VIEW -15.65% Rejected at 255. CAPITULATED.
"Controlled" Falling wedge -$1.71B (100% bid).
or 200 DMA visit. Forced liquidation.
GOLD VIEW Not discussed Bearish if DXY DXY Hard Gate
this report. breaks out of ACTIVE (range 50).
falling wedge. HARD BLOCK.
Inverse ABC.
⚠️ MAV + 5.8 ALIGNED on bearish gold / DXY strength.
OIL VIEW Not discussed. Bear flag → Declining through
back up on war escalation. Deflation
escalation. pattern forming.
$150+ on Kharg.
⚠️ DIVERGENT: Mav sees oil up (war), 5.8 sees deflation risk
RATE HIKE Not discussed. 2Y golden cross. FOMC discussed hikes.
RISK "If rates up in PCE 3.0% core.
stagflation = ISM Prices Paid 70.5.
crash." Stagflation confirmed.
✅ MAV + 5.8 ALIGNED on stagflation / rate hike risk
DEFENSE Not discussed. BWX inverse H&S. BA bullish DP +
ROTATION OLN double bottom. options. Policy basket
KDEF hedge. alignment. Defense
sector accumulation.
✅ MAV + 5.8 ALIGNED on defense as relative long
WEEKEND RISK Not addressed. Kharg Island Collar expiry 03/31.
seizure spec. Quarter-end rebalancing.
Binary event. Structural catalysts
$150+ oil risk. stack into same window.
➕ COMPLEMENTARY: Mav adds geopolitical, 5.8 adds structural
UNIQUE BP divergences. Kharg Island -$24.22B darkpool.
INTELLIGENCE Vol control scenario tree. AAPL capitulation.
de-risk runway. Exhaustion/ MSFT 5-day campaign.
Tech NOT yet depletion thesis. 14-vs-3 convergence.
oversold (BP). Korea defense. Flow timeline puts.
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SYNTHESIS: THE COMPLETE PICTURE FROM THREE LENSES
Three analysts, three methods, one week, one market. Here's what each lens contributes:
Silva (quantitative/systematic): The market is at extreme sentiment lows (19.8). Breadth is washed across multiple sectors but TECHNOLOGY has NOT capitulated yet ($BPINFO 42.25 not at extreme). BP divergences are forming (higher lows in breadth vs lower lows in price), which historically precede bounces. The FTD framework enters its Day 4-7 search window starting 03/26. The pain trade is higher — but he's not positioned for it. Three weeks without tagging weekly EM is rare and overdue.
Mav (geopolitical/technical): The weekend is a binary event. The ceasefire narrative is a delay for something bigger — likely Kharg Island seizure. Oil could spike to $150+ if it goes wrong. Rate hike risk from 2Y golden cross + stagflation = market crash if actualized. NVDA is bearish (below 200 DMA), MSFT is bearish (bear flag → 200-week MA), everything is bearish except defense names. The worst is yet to come.
Maverick 5.8 (flow/regime): The bounce is DEAD as of Day 3. -$24.22B aggregate darkpool liquidation on a green surface tape. AAPL capitulated (100% bid — last mega-cap tech holdout). MSFT distribution campaign Day 5 (-$1,926.2M cumulative). Convergence: 14 bearish vs 3 bullish = highest divergence in tracker history. Phase 3 catalysts align: collar expiry 03/31, ISM 04/01, CPI 04/10, April OpEx 04/17. NVDA is the SOLE SURVIVOR (+$2.29B accumulation). Defensive rotation locked in: Healthcare 87%, Staples 77%, Financials 74% accumulation.
WHERE ALL THREE AGREE:
- Market trending down through end of week
- MSFT is the single worst mega-cap setup
- Rate hike / stagflation risk is real and escalating
- Defense sector is a relative safe haven
- The bounce (Phase 2) has NOT produced a structural bottom
- VIX backwardation / negative gamma = volatility continues
WHERE THEY DISAGREE:
- NVDA: Mav bearish (chart), Silva neutral (pinned), 5.8 bullish (sole survivor flow). This is the highest-conviction disagreement.
- Oil direction: Mav sees re-spike on escalation ($150+). 5.8 sees deflation risk (demand destruction). Both are scenario-dependent.
- Pain trade viability: Silva says possible (contrarian + sentiment extreme). 5.8 says unlikely (-$24.22B institutional exit ≠ trapped shorts). Mav doesn't address it.
- AAPL: Charts show "controlled decline." Darkpool shows forced liquidation. Surface vs subsurface divergence.
THE META-INSIGHT: Mav provides the WHY (geopolitical catalysts). Silva provides the WHEN (FTD timing + sentiment trigger). 5.8 provides the WHO (institutional flow direction + magnitude). Together they describe a market where retail sentiment is washed (Silva), narratives are escalating (Mav), and institutions are methodically exiting through dark pools while the price tape stays green (5.8). The combination is a stronger signal than any single lens.
The consensus view from all three: Don't buy this bounce. Whether the reason is geopolitical escalation risk (Mav), FTD hasn't fired (Silva), or -$24.22B institutional liquidation (5.8) — the conclusion is the same. The market has more work to do on the downside before a durable bottom forms. The debate is about magnitude and timeline, not direction.
Analysis generated: 03/26/2026
Framework version: Maverick 5.8 (Dollar Governs Commodities + Range Regime)
Data: Rolling Tracker v10 (03/25), Comprehensive Analysis 0324, 11 sector reports (0325 data), Mav 03/25 transcript, Silva 03/25 cross-reference